Unscrambling the System

Unscrambling the System

International Systems Brief

Energy Shock Volatility

Signals & Insights | Week Ending 14 March 2026 - Energy system rattled; stagflation risks re‑emerge; EU pivots (back) toward nuclear, plus this week’s systemic insights

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Kevin Thomas Ryan
Mar 14, 2026
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The Horizon: Energy Shock Volatility - Signals for week ending 14 March 2026 - Kevin Thomas Ryan

Top Signal: The Global Energy System Continues to Rattle

The dominant signal in the global economy this week was the growing impact of the escalation of the conflict involving Iran and the disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints that facilitates roughly 20% of global oil supply (and a significant amount of the global LNG trade). The impact of the crisis has already been described as one of the worst supply shocks to energy markets since the 1970s.

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