Unscrambling the System

Unscrambling the System

Horizon Systems Brief

Structural Power Shifts

Signals & Insights | 10 January 2026 - EU-Mercosur trade deal, transatlantic strains, eurozone structural constraints.

Kevin Thomas Ryan's avatar
Kevin Thomas Ryan
Jan 10, 2026
∙ Paid
The Horizon: Structural Power Realignment - week of 10 January 2025

Top Signal: EU Provisional Approval of the Mercosur Deal

After decades of negociation, this week, the European Union’s long-negotiated trade agreement with the South American Mercosur bloc (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay) was finally given the green light by EU ambassadors after decades of negotiation, even as several member states, including France, Ireland, Austria, Hungary, and Poland, reportedly voted against it. In addition to significant pushback at the diplomatic level, this week also witnessed significant farmer protests erupting on roads within several EU member states.

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